Monday 7 October 2013

FTSE LIVE: Markets turn red as name-calling US factions show no sign of settling budget crisis

The FTSE 100 has opened down 47.4 points at 6,406.5 as investors fret over the lack of progress in breaking a political stalemate over the US budget and debt ceiling.
US Democrats and Republicans came no closer over the weekend to a budget agreement that would end a government shutdown, let alone a deal on the borrowing limit needed by October 17 to avoid an unprecedented default.
Republican House Speaker John Boehner said he would not raise the debt ceiling without a 'serious conversation' about what is driving the debt. Democrats said it was irresponsible and reckless to raise the possibility of a default.
US crisis: Polls show most American people are against the government shutdown
US crisis: Polls show most American people are against the government shutdown
Many in the markets still expect a deal to be reached to avoid the potentially catastrophic fallout of a default by the world's biggest economy. However, Asian markets were down overnight and top German and French markets have also opened in the red this morning.
'We're going to wobble our way down until about Thursday and then there's going to be a solution and there will be a melt-up,' predicted Justin Haque, a broker at Hobart Capital Markets.
Michael Hewson of CMC Markets said: 'Financial markets continue to seem remarkably sanguine about the goings on in Washington as we head into day seven of the US shutdown.
'This perception appeared to be reinforced on Friday with reports that Republican House leader John Boehner was determined to do all he could to avert a government default.
 
'This prompted some suggestions that he might be prepared to push a bill through to end the budget deadlock and raise the debt ceiling with the help from the moderates within his own party and all the Democrats in the chamber, in defiance of the majority of his party.
'Mr Boehner appeared to pour cold water on that speculation over the weekend by saying that he didn’t have the votes to pass an unconditional funding bill, adding to concerns that the two parties are becoming more entrenched than ever.
'Mr Boehner’s comments that no votes would be held on either issue unless President Obama compromises on healthcare doesn’t really leave the Republicans much in the way of wriggle room as the October deadline looms, especially given that President Obama is unlikely to negotiate on what is one of his flagship reforms.
Mike van Dulken of Accendo Markets said: 'The congressional stalemate shows no signs of progress with House Speaker Boehner adamant that a clean spending bill will not be approved while Treasury Secretary [Jack] Lew says congress is playing with fire putting the nation’s sovereign reputation at risk, on top of President Obama’s highlighting of the potential impact on fourth quarter GDP.
'There are also fears that October could be a lost month for important official US macro [economic] data meaning November lacks a comparable and pushes analysis into December, possibly even January.
'Rating agency Moody’s says US default [is] extremely unlikely with debt payments being made even after the deadline.'

Stocks to watch today include:

SERCO: The global outsourcing group faces a wide-ranging government investigation into its largest state contracts, the Sunday Times reported, adding that its UK and Europe chief executive Jeremy Stafford is expected to leave.
NATIONAL EXPRESS: The transport group said it had been shortlisted for a Berlin rail contract.
THOMAS COOK: The travel and tourism company said it had sold businesses serving customers in Egypt and Lebanon.
SABLE MINING : Guinea-focused iron ore miner Sable Mining said it had been granted permission to export through Liberia by the Guinean government, which could increase the viability of its Nimba project.
PETRA DIAMONDS : The company said it was on track to meet its production targets.
ADRIATIC OIL: The oil group said it aimed to list its shares on AIM.


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